Tuesday, December 25, 2012
OCD weather advisory as of 5:00 pm (Dec. 25,2012)
SEVERE Weather Bulletin No. 3 | via DOST-Pagasa | Tropical Storm QUINTA (TS WUKONG|27W) | 25 December 2012 (Tuesday) as of 1700 hours #QuintaPH –
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SYNOPSIS:
Tropical Storm "QUINTA" (TS WUKONG|27W) has intensified further as it continues to move towards Eastern Visayas (possibility of landfall at midnight to early morning of December 26) As of 5:00 PM was located 90 km Southeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar (10.3°N, 126.5°E).”Quinta” has maximum winds of 75 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 90 kph moving West at 24 kph.
In 24 hours “Quinta” is projected to be 50 km East of Cuyo Island and in 48 hours 320 km West Northwest of Puerto Princesa City.
Signal No. 2: (61-100 kph winds)
Eastern Samar
Western samar
Leyte
Southern Leyte
Northern Cebu
Camotes Island
Bohol
Biliran
Dinagat Province
Siargao Island
Surigao Del Norte
Signal No. 1: (30-60 kph winds)
Northern Samar
Masbate
Ticao Island
Aklan
Capiz
Antique
Iloilo
Guimaras
Negros provinces
Siquijor
Rest of Cebu
Agusan Del Norte
Agusan Del Sur
Misamis Oriental
Camiguin
Surigao Del Sur.
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Estimated rainfall amount is from 10 to 20 mm per hour (heavy - intense) within the 350 km diameter of the storm.
Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under public storm warning signal #2 and #1 are alerted against possible flash floods and land slides. Likewise, those living in coastal areas under public storm warning signal #2 are alerted against big waves or storm surges generated by this tropical cyclone.
Fishing boats and other small sea crafts are advised not to venture out into the seaboards of Luzon and over the eastern seaboard of Visayas and Mindanao.
The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today.
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SYNOPSIS:
Tropical Storm "QUINTA" (TS WUKONG|27W) has intensified further as it continues to move towards Eastern Visayas (possibility of landfall at midnight to early morning of December 26) As of 5:00 PM was located 90 km Southeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar (10.3°N, 126.5°E).”Quinta” has maximum winds of 75 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 90 kph moving West at 24 kph.
In 24 hours “Quinta” is projected to be 50 km East of Cuyo Island and in 48 hours 320 km West Northwest of Puerto Princesa City.
Signal No. 2: (61-100 kph winds)
Eastern Samar
Western samar
Leyte
Southern Leyte
Northern Cebu
Camotes Island
Bohol
Biliran
Dinagat Province
Siargao Island
Surigao Del Norte
Signal No. 1: (30-60 kph winds)
Northern Samar
Masbate
Ticao Island
Aklan
Capiz
Antique
Iloilo
Guimaras
Negros provinces
Siquijor
Rest of Cebu
Agusan Del Norte
Agusan Del Sur
Misamis Oriental
Camiguin
Surigao Del Sur.
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Estimated rainfall amount is from 10 to 20 mm per hour (heavy - intense) within the 350 km diameter of the storm.
Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under public storm warning signal #2 and #1 are alerted against possible flash floods and land slides. Likewise, those living in coastal areas under public storm warning signal #2 are alerted against big waves or storm surges generated by this tropical cyclone.
Fishing boats and other small sea crafts are advised not to venture out into the seaboards of Luzon and over the eastern seaboard of Visayas and Mindanao.
The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today.
Tropical Cyclone Warning: Tropical Storm "QUINTA" Bulletin 2
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Tropical Depression QUINTA update
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Monday, December 24, 2012
Office of Civil Defense issued as of 5:00 am (12-24-2012)
Weather Outlook | via DOST-Pagasa | 24 December 2012 (Monday) as of 0500 hours ---> Mindanao and Eastern Visayas will have cloudy skies with light to moderate rainshowers and thunderstorms. Cagayan Valley, Bicol Region and the Provinces of Aurora and Quezon will experience cloudy skies with light rains. Metro Manila and the rest of the country will be partly cloudy with brief rain showers or thunderstorms.
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the Northeast will prevail throughout the archipelago and the coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
12-24-2012 12:30am WP93 LPA entered PAR
At 00:30, WP93 is about 200km east of the Phil Area of Responsibility
Compostela Valley and Davao Oriental will
be cloudy with occasional to frequent moderate to heavy rains (5.0 – 10 mm/hr) on the 25th and 26th of December due to the passage of the Low Pressure Area.
Compostela Valley and Davao Oriental will
be cloudy with occasional to frequent moderate to heavy rains (5.0 – 10 mm/hr) on the 25th and 26th of December due to the passage of the Low Pressure Area.
Sunday, December 23, 2012
Possible Christmas Typhoon disappeared, But it will be rainy Christmas in Vis-Min
Although JTWC has advised the dissipation of WP93. Its movement is til being monitored and the rain coming in ahead of it has reconsolidated. It may still be a rainy Christmas for the Visayas and Mindanao. Head ups.
Saturday, December 22, 2012
Friday, December 21, 2012
Developing storm may follow path of 'Pablo' - Pagasa
The developing storm that may enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) this weekend could follow the same track as the devastating typhoon Pablo, a state weather forecaster said.
Gener Quitlong of the Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) said that the low pressure area (LPA) could enter the country by December 23 in its current state or as an intensified storm. Due to its location, it could hit Mindanao, then hover over Visayas and Luzon.
Quitlong added that it might hover over land on Christmas day.
Meanwhile, Fernando Cada, a Pagasa forecaster, told InterAksyon that the LPA is at around 2,800 km east of the PAR boundary.
"It is still too far to affect the country," Cada said. "Expect it to enter PAR on Saturday or Sunday. We are continuing to monitor this system."
Based on Aksyon Weather's Metra System, the LPA could hit southeastern Mindanao on December 25.
If the LPA intensifies, it would be the 17th storm to visit the country and will be called "Quinta."
Gener Quitlong of the Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) said that the low pressure area (LPA) could enter the country by December 23 in its current state or as an intensified storm. Due to its location, it could hit Mindanao, then hover over Visayas and Luzon.
Quitlong added that it might hover over land on Christmas day.
Meanwhile, Fernando Cada, a Pagasa forecaster, told InterAksyon that the LPA is at around 2,800 km east of the PAR boundary.
"It is still too far to affect the country," Cada said. "Expect it to enter PAR on Saturday or Sunday. We are continuing to monitor this system."
Based on Aksyon Weather's Metra System, the LPA could hit southeastern Mindanao on December 25.
If the LPA intensifies, it would be the 17th storm to visit the country and will be called "Quinta."
Storms are rare at this time of the year.
Pagasa used to peg the possibility of storms visiting the country at 0-1.
But they revised it to 1-2 last year when tropical storm Sendong made landfall over Mindanao in December 2011 and after typhoon Pablo recently, both storms wreaking devastation on parts of Mindanao.
Thursday, December 20, 2012
Potential cyclone may enter PAR late Sunday – PAGASA
A potential cyclone may enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) late Sunday, state weather forecasters said Thursday.
PAGASA forecaster Chris Perez said their models indicate the LPA may intensify into a cyclone before entering the PAR.
"Kung patuloy ito sa pagkilos palapit sa bansa, posibleng Linggo ng hapon o gabi papasok ng PAR," Perez said in an interview on dzBB radio.
But he said it may not make itself felt until Monday, when it is expected to bring rain to the eastern sections of Visayas and Mindanao.
He said that as of 2 a.m. Thursday, the LPA was estimated 2,800 km east of the PAR boundary (see satellite image below, taken at 7 a.m.).
International monitoring
"The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) is continuing to monitor the LPA, which was east of Micronesia as of 2 a.m. The latest satellite imagery show the cloud formation continuing, although low-level convergence and upper-level divergence are more pronounced west of the system," said GMA resident meteorologist Nathaniel "Mang Tani" Cruz.
"The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) is continuing to monitor the LPA, which was east of Micronesia as of 2 a.m. The latest satellite imagery show the cloud formation continuing, although low-level convergence and upper-level divergence are more pronounced west of the system," said GMA resident meteorologist Nathaniel "Mang Tani" Cruz.
Mang Tani added that the system is forecast to intensify, but it remains to be seen whether the LPA will become a full-blown typhoon.
"The latest numerical models suggest slow intensification within the next several days, in contrast to earlier models that showed that it might reach cyclone category before reaching the PAR," Mang Tani said.
"Normally ang LPA hanggang nasa dagat ay malaki ang chance mag-intensify given the right atmospheric conditions," Perez explained.
Should the LPA become a cyclone while inside the PAR, it will be locally codenamed Quinta.
Perez said this would be the last cyclone for 2012.
Northeast monsoon
For Thursday, PAGASA said the northeast monsoon is affecting Luzon.
"Visayas and Mindanao will have cloudy skies with light to moderate rain showers or thunderstorms. Cagayan Valley, Bicol region and the provinces of Aurora and Quezon will experience cloudy skies with light rain," it said in its 5 a.m. bulletin.
Metro Manila and the rest of the Luzon will be partly cloudy with brief rain showers or thunderstorms, it added.
PAGASA also said moderate to strong winds blowing from the northeast will prevail over Luzon and over the eastern section of Visayas and Mindanao and the coastal waters along these areas will be moderate to rough.
Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate coming from the northeast with slight to moderate seas.
Gale warning
PAGASA said strong to gale-force winds associated with the northeast monsoon may affect the seaboards of Northern Luzon and the eastern seaboard of Central and Southern Luzon and Eastern Visayas.
"Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the sea while larger sea vessels are alerted against big waves," it said. — TJD, GMA News
Tuesday, December 18, 2012
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